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Ketju research: Wrapped Bitcoin (WBTC)

RejectedPublished by Ketju Research

This file describes the economic claim, control, loss, and exit evidence. Client action and amount belong to the advisor. Not investment, legal, tax, or compliance advice.

Research summary

This review rejects WBTC because its custody concentration is complete, not pending. WBTC is an ERC-20 minted 1:1 against BTC held by authorized custodians under a multisig; only KYC'd Merchants mint or redeem at par, so a retail or advisor position exits through secondary-market liquidity, not the custody channel. The August 2024 controversy, BitGo proposing to hand a BiT Global joint venture, linked to TRON founder Justin Sun, two of three custody keys, was already enough for MakerDAO/Sky to vote 88% to offboard WBTC collateral and for Aave's risk providers to call the concentration "an unacceptable level of risk." Reporting through 2026 confirms that transition completed: BiT Global now holds the user key and backup key, BitGo Inc. holds only the remaining US-based key. The scenario every major DeFi risk desk flagged as disqualifying in 2024 is now the live custody structure, not a proposal. That converts a risk into a standing fact.

Observable review triggers

  • BitGo Inc. or another US/EU-regulated custodian independent of BiT Global regains at least 2 of 3 custody keys
  • An independent, named proof-of-reserves attestation, not self-reported by BiT Global, confirms 1:1 BTC backing on a recurring monthly basis
  • No confirmed instance of BiT Global or an affiliate restricting or delaying redemption for 12 consecutive months after the transition completed
  • A major DeFi risk provider that downgraded WBTC in 2024-2026 formally reverses that assessment with published reasoning

Facts on file

Verdict
Rejected
Type
Other
Chains examined
Ethereum
Instruments
WBTC
Reviewed
Last confirmed

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