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Research files · Dollar lending

Ketju research: Euler v2

RejectedPublished by Ketju Research

This file describes the economic claim, control, loss, and exit evidence. Client action and amount belong to the advisor. Not investment, legal, tax, or compliance advice.

Research summary

This review rejects Euler V2 as a protocol-wide exposure but leaves a path to reopen a specific vault. This is not a postponed judgment. The original Euler lost about $197M in March 2023 and recovered 100% of the stolen assets. Their value was about $240M when returned. Euler V2 launched in September 2024 after a ground-up rebuild. Those facts deserve weight, but they do not support protocol-wide approval. Current evidence shows that Euler did not report $137M of protocol bad debt from Stream Finance. Its 2026 retrospective says Ethereum DAO-managed markets had zero direct Stream exposure, while the incentivized Plasma deployment lent heavily to Stream and was effectively wiped out. That is still a serious allocation and governance failure, not a second core-contract exploit. V2 is permissionless infrastructure: each EVK vault chooses collateral, LTVs, interest-rate model, oracle, hooks, governor, and upgrade posture. EulerEarn can allocate across as many as 30 ERC-4626 strategies, including external ones. “Known” vault metadata explicitly is not an endorsement, and curators can later change parameters. The formal rejected verdict states the decision clearly: reject Euler as a protocol-level exposure and reopen only a named vault after an independent, address-specific dossier. Brand, aggregate TVL, and audit count are not substitutes.

Observable review triggers

  • No protocol-wide approval: only a named vault can be reopened
  • Any candidate vault holding or accepting an asset outside the approved list
  • Any realized bad debt, oracle failure, or loss in the candidate vault or an underlying strategy
  • Governor, curator, strategy, oracle, implementation or upgrade posture changing outside the documented exit window
  • Proposed-size withdrawal failing the written stress-liquidity limit

Facts on file

Verdict
Rejected
Type
Dollar lending
Chains examined
Ethereum
Instruments
USDC, USDT, WETH
Reviewed
Last confirmed

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